The scenarios in brief
Brabant food factory
In the scenario ‘Brabant food factory’, the markets are open, and goods, services and knowledge are exchanged on a large scale. Brabant is a global producer of food and related knowledge. Technological innovations are the order of the day, resulting in a decline in the sense of connection that people have with nature. Agriculture and horticulture are no longer soil-based.
The world is my vegetable garden
In the scenario ‘The world is my vegetable garden’, all the markets are open and accessible. People feel very connected to nature. New techniques are deployed more quickly. Brabant focusses on soil-based agriculture and horticulture, combined with other activities such as recreation, nature experience, water management, and solar and wind power. The supply chain is transparent, and knowledge development is focused on export. Data is freely available, and the environmental impact is minimal.
Keeping it in your own circle
In the scenario ‘Keeping it in your own circle’, the market is closed: a consequence of trade wars, closed borders and rising nationalism. There’s little knowledge exchange, and food production is mainly soil-based. Nature is generally seen as being useful. We produce all our own food and that’s why a circular economy and short supply chains are necessary. Efficiency is most important. Export has decreased significantly.
Farming close to home
In the scenario ‘Farming close to home’, the markets are also closed, but people feel very connected to nature, and are extremely conscious about their consumption. Food is produced for our own population. Knowledge exchange has a strong focus on using natural principles for food production. We live according to the seasons, and parties work together to be able to produce enough food. Agrifood in Brabant is specialised in circular economy principles.